Census report sees minorities becoming majority by 2042
6:11 PM EDT, August 13, 2008

In a new report out Thursday, the U.S. Census Bureau projects the nation will become much more diverse by midcentury, with minorities forecast to become the majority population by 2042, experts said. The growing national diversity is also a trend seen locally, particularly among Hispanics, experts said. "It's already happening on Long Island," said Lee Koppelman, director of Stony Brook University's Center for Regional Policy Studies, citing the influx of Hispanics. Recently released census data estimate that Hispanic residents constitute 12.4 percent of Nassau County's population in 2007, up from 10 percent in 2000; and 13.3 percent of Suffolk County's in 2007, up from 10.5 percent in 2000. "Hispanics are primarily drawn here by economic opportunity," Koppelman continued. "If the economy remains robust on Long Island, this population will continue to expand." The Census Bureau projects that minorities, now roughly one-third of the nation's population, will become the majority by 2042, and grow to 54 percent by 2050. Hispanics are projected to nearly triple their numbers -- rising from an estimated 46.7 million today to just under 133 million by 2050, out of a projected total U.S. population of 439 million. The black population is expected to rise from 41.1 million, or 14 percent of the nation's population today, to 65.7 million, or 15 percent by 2050. The Asian population is projected to rise from 15.5 million people now, or 5.1 percent of the U.S. population, to 40.6 million, or 9.2 percent, by 2050. By contrast, non-Hispanic whites' share of the nation's population is projected to drop from 66 percent currently to 46 percent by 2050. Their population numbers are projected to remain stable, going from an estimated 199.8 million today, to 203.3 million by 2050. Census officials also expect the nation's population to grow older, projecting that by 2050 one in five Americans will be age 65 and older. Experts said the emerging demographic shift had social, economic and political implications. On the housing front, for example, Gregory Maney, a Hofstra University sociology professor, said of the projections: "What it says is there are going to be more people who belong to minority groups looking for housing on Long Island. And basically that's going to create pressure to desegregate predominantly white areas. ... Can ethnic minority groups translate their greater numbers into greater political and legal power to challenge systemic discrimination in housing?" Martin Cantor, director of Dowling College's Long Island Economic & Social Policy Institute, saw the potential for racial and ethnic tensions, saying, "What Long Islanders have to realize is that change is coming. Rather than being resistant to it, we have to make it work as smoothly as possible so the economy and the social fabric benefits."


From: Pew Hispanic Center [mailto:pewhispanic@pewhispanic.ccsend.com] On Behalf Of Pew Hispanic Center
Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2008 6:14 AM
To: dshumate@mgmi.org
Subject: Press Release

August 26, 2008

For Immediate Release

Mary Seaborn
Brandon Maitlen



WASHINGTON - The number of Hispanic students in the nation's public schools nearly doubled from 1990 to 2006, accounting for 60% of the total growth in public school enrollments over that period. Presently, 10 million Hispanic students attend the nation's public schools, 20% of all public school students.
In 2006 Hispanics were about half of all public school students in California, up from 36% in 1990. They were more than 40% of enrollments in three additional states (Arizona, New Mexico and Texas) and between 20% and 40% of all public school students in five states (Nevada, Colorado, Illinois, Florida and New York). Overall, Hispanics are the largest minority group in the public schools in 22 states.
Strong growth in Hispanic enrollment is expected to continue for decades, according to a recently released U.S. Census Bureau population projection. In 2050, there will be more school-age Hispanic children than school-age non-Hispanic white children.
In order to illuminate this growing group of public school students, the Pew Hispanic Center today releases "One-in-Five and Growing Fast:  A Profile of Hispanic Public School Students," a statistical portrait of the demographic, language, and family background characteristics of the nation's 10 million Hispanic public school students.

Key findings from the report:  

Press Release
The vast majority of Hispanic public school students (84%) were born in the United States.
  • Seven-in-ten (70%) Hispanic students speak a language other than English at home.
  • Nearly one-in-five (18%) of all Hispanic students speak English with difficulty.
  • Nearly three-in-five Hispanic students (57%) live in households with both of their parents compared with 69% of non-Hispanic white students and 30% of non-Hispanic black students.
  • More than seven-in-ten U.S. born Hispanic students of immigrant parents (71%) live with both parents.  Smaller shares of foreign-born students (58%) and U.S.-born students of native parentage (48%) reside with both parents.
  • More than a quarter of Hispanic students (28%) live in poverty, compared with 16% of non-Hispanic students. In comparison, more than a third of non-Hispanic black students (35%) reside in poverty and about one-in-ten non-Hispanic white students live in a poor household.
  • Foreign-born Hispanic students (35%) are more likely than their native-born counterparts (27%) to live in poverty.
  • The report, One-in-Five and Growing Fast: A Profile of Hispanic Public School Students, is available on the Center's website, www.pewhispanic.org.
    Pew Hispanic Center, a project of the Pew Research Center, is a non-partisan, non-advocacy research organization based in Washington, D.C. and is funded byThe Pew Charitable Trusts.

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